Robert Chesley

Roger Ebert’s Shocking Future Predicting Power

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I came across this interesting tidbit from the twitter feed the other day. It is a 1987 interview with film critic Roger Ebert. He correctly predicts the future of home video entertainment.

From the interview:

OMNI: How will the fierce competition between television and the movies work out in the future?

EBERT: We will have high-definition, wide-screen television sets and a push-button dialing system to order the movie you want at the time you want it. You’ll not go to a video store but instead order a movie on demand and then pay for it. Videocassette tapes as we know them now will be obsolete both for showing prerecorded movies and for recording movies. People will record films on 8mm and will play them back using laser-disk/CD technology.

I also am very, very excited by the fact that before long, alternative films will penetrate the entire country. Today seventy-five percent of the gross from a typical art film in America comes from as few as six –six– different theaters in six different cities. Ninety percent of the American motion-picture marketplace never shows art films. With this revolution in delivery and distribution, anyone, in any size town or hamlet, will see the movies he or she wants to see. It will be the same as it’s always been with books. You can be a hermit and still read any author you choose.

It is interesting to see that he correctly predicts “movies on demand” and “DVD technology”. I have to agree with him. The availability of “Art Films” are a lot more prevailint in our society now because of the internet and Netflix more than anything else.

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